Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.059118 0.067032 0.075216 0.084280 0.094011 0.104113 0.115366
2025-03-30 0.047362 0.059167 0.072087 0.087134 0.104038 0.122314 0.143437
2025-04-06 0.040086 0.054417 0.070856 0.090770 0.113919 0.139682 0.170231
2025-04-13 0.032925 0.048489 0.067160 0.090602 0.118674 0.150691 0.189457
2025-04-20 0.030264 0.047488 0.068864 0.096410 0.130097 0.169169 0.217148
2025-04-27 0.024939 0.042332 0.064823 0.094699 0.132114 0.176326 0.231453
2025-05-04 0.022389 0.040512 0.064723 0.097641 0.139599 0.189857 0.253213
2025-05-11 0.018976 0.037032 0.062077 0.097021 0.142428 0.197611 0.267980
2025-05-18 0.017165 0.035652 0.062082 0.099710 0.149327 0.210285 0.288685
2025-05-25 0.015387 0.034089 0.061656 0.101692 0.155236 0.221700 0.307872
2025-06-01 0.012673 0.030658 0.058267 0.099398 0.155395 0.225799 0.317978
2025-06-08 0.010363 0.027549 0.055069 0.097129 0.155392 0.229549 0.327549
2025-06-15 0.009535 0.027079 0.055988 0.100921 0.163867 0.244610 0.351944
2025-06-22 0.008450 0.025994 0.055899 0.103287 0.170518 0.257514 0.373913
2025-06-29 0.007760 0.025576 0.056820 0.107116 0.179204 0.273135 0.399457
2025-07-06 0.006443 0.023626 0.055073 0.106874 0.182208 0.281334 0.415607
2025-07-13 0.006347 0.024307 0.057739 0.113302 0.194557 0.301871 0.447629
2025-07-20 0.005032 0.021951 0.055028 0.111402 0.195125 0.306833 0.459681
2025-07-27 0.004574 0.021548 0.055678 0.114660 0.202996 0.321506 0.484301
2025-08-03 0.003701 0.019863 0.053879 0.113973 0.205159 0.328532 0.499031
2025-08-10 0.003332 0.019464 0.054401 0.116951 0.212609 0.342682 0.523079
2025-08-17 0.002926 0.018849 0.054456 0.119143 0.218908 0.355295 0.545166
2025-08-24 0.002176 0.016879 0.051705 0.116605 0.218155 0.358248 0.554522